Policies
OASDI Tax Rate
Taxable Maximum Policy
Payroll Taxes on Wage Earnings Above $250,000
Cost of Living Adjustment (COLA) Index
Primary Insurance Amount (PIA)
Full-Benefit Retirement Age (FRA)
Key Assumptions
Foreign Investment Flows into U.S.
Social Security
Published on August 8, 2018
The Social Security Trust Fund consists of excess revenues from Social Security taxes, which are invested in non-marketable Treasury securities. Interest income from these securities that is not used to pay benefits is also deposited in the Trust Fund.
The real (inflation-adjusted) value of the Trust Fund is expected to decline over time. Even during the next few years, when the difference between Social Security's interest income and its non-interest revenue shortfall will be positive, deposits into the Trust Fund will be insufficient to offset losses in its real value because of inflation. As the difference between program costs and income from Social Security taxes grows larger, interest income will eventually be insufficient to cover the non-interest revenue shortfall. Trust Fund securities would then have to be redeemed to pay lawful benefits, accelerating the decline in the Trust Fund's real value.
More information about the Penn Wharton Budget Model's Social Security simulator.
Policy Brief summarizing findings about Social Security’s Financial Condition.
More information about the ranges and default settings for the policy simulator dial controls.
NOTE: Constant dollars are for 2018 base year.
The real (inflation-adjusted) value of the Trust Fund is expected to decline over time. Even during the next few years, when the difference between Social Security's interest income and its non-interest revenue shortfall will be positive, deposits into the Trust Fund will be insufficient to offset losses in its real value because of inflation. As the difference between program costs and income from Social Security taxes grows larger, interest income will eventually be insufficient to cover the non-interest revenue shortfall. Trust Fund securities would then have to be redeemed to pay lawful benefits, accelerating the decline in the Trust Fund's real value.
More information about the Penn Wharton Budget Model's Social Security simulator.
Policy Brief summarizing findings about Social Security’s Financial Condition.
More information about the ranges and default settings for the policy simulator dial controls.
NOTE: Constant dollars are for 2018 base year.